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I will let you do the math. Should just stop there because even mentioning that website shows a complete disconnection from reality. Who doesnt believe that the Tigers have serious buyers remorse on Baez? Hes not 65 and 230 lbs. The team looking to sign Swanson should have some concerns that his 2022 is unlike anything prior. Hes only done that once before (during condensed 2020 season). Must be a great place to play if they can get all these young guys to sign for long term. The braves do like to buy out arbitration years where they can. Matt Harvey had a higher ERA and lower K/9 and higher BB/9 in his first season. It doesnt pertain to him except for bonus money. Back when Acuna signed his eight-year, $100MM extension, that was the largest deal ever for a position player with under a year of big league service. As the saying goes, a fool and his money will quickly part. This is how a Mets fan copes with his team getting bounced lmao. Thats fair. This is going to be the Kevin Brown deal that literally changed the market in a day. I mean I wouldnt even extend a player if they are going to get 85% or more of their contract by going year to year. Musgrove also signed a team friendly extension w/his hometown Padres. Core is in place for about as long as you want it to be. Love the hugely inaccurate arb numbers by posters on here. Thats $83M and even then I think those are totally unattainable, even if he won 2 Cy Young Awards and went to the All-Star game every year and what does that save the Braves $11M? Command was an issue at times in the minors and early in the season, but Strider markedly scaled back on the number of free passes he yielded as the season wore on, finishing out the year with an 8.5% walk rate that was scarcely north of the league average. Period. The Braves' 2022 season has been nothing short of impressive. Thats conjecture, you stating what his arb years would or wouldnt be considering the volatility of pitchers, players with less than two years of major league experience, players with less than 150 major league innings, and who have barely seen each team once, when pitching has the advantage over hitting when neither has faced each other. Swanson 11.2 WAR. He was not a Super 2, but posted an insane 2.85 FIP for his career with a Cy Young, 2 All-Star season, and 4 of 5 seasons with an ERA under 3.00. Wouldve been a massive overpay. "It helps when . You are comparing Harveys call up as a full season is disingenuous. Strider is now expected to join the Braves Opening Day roster in 2022. Players use that as a bargaining tactic all the time. Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. Spencer Strider is on Instagram at spencerstrider. For reference, Kris Bryant was a lock to be a Super Two because he finished 2017 with 2 years and 171 days of service time. Actually they did.. Youre ignoring hes going to be Top 3 in the ROY so hes going to get granted an extra year of service time. The average Plug and Play Tech Center hourly pay ranges from approximately $22 per hour for an Intern - Hourly to $69 per hour for a Partner Success Manager. The team has 15 players, none of which are Swanson, taking up $180M of their payroll in 2023. Strider was 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA in 31 games this season. "And go out and keep doing what we've been doing.". While Ive never done a comparison, I do believe they probably are the least fan-friendly. Considering the current model, I wouldnt bank on $20M coming from the final arb year and that leaves $27.5M/year for the two free agent seasons. Really? . Sure, they have control of Fried/Wright (even via arb), but Strider is the first long-term arm. Thank god, the contract was signed today based on his performance this year. Playoff team extra year. This is one time a record truly means nothing. Had the Yankees given Miguel Andujar the same treatment after the 2018 season, we would be having a completely different discussion. Explain to me the worth in that? Shewmake is about ready though and they could sign a veteran cheap to platoon with him or just keep Dansby and use Shewmake as trade bait. Strider will make $1 million each of the next two seasons and $4 million in 2025. While Steve offers a hypothesis of free agent years costing $40M or more annually, the reality is Scherzer may be the best pitcher of his generation, Kershaw and Verlander included and his $40M was clearly an overpay, evem on a short deal. Spencer Strider is still a rookie for the Atlanta Braves, but he has the potential to advance to the major leagues. 2023 Signing Bonus Or 40 million a year for Max. Before his MLB career, he was a member of the Augusta GreenJackets, Rome Braves, Mississippi Braves, and Gwinnett Stripers. Strider has been excellent in his first full season with Atlanta, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 202 strikeouts in 31 appearances (20 starts). Theyre in 10000x better position than anyone in that division to be a long term competitor, for sure. I mean this in total sincerity, if you love this deal, you should never manage a real team, let alone budget your own finances personally. They could or locked judge up years ago now they are going to pay for it or not pay for it and lose their star. Can Story even play SS anymore? If thats the case, how do you justify to Max Fried that hes only making $22.5M through his first 5 years in the league? Love to see this for a team and their fan base, Win win for both sides. They control his first two FA years for somewhere in the range of $40-50MM total, depending how aggressively you want to project his arb numbers and only one of the two years is even guaranteed. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, Salaries may not be complete (especially pre-1985) and may not include some earned bonuses. Doesnt make it a bad deal for the team, either. The Braves are taking the approach knowing that not all of these deals will pay out, including Striders. Finally, the greater likelihood is that he probably wont be good enough to outplay what he was given because it was a dramatic overpay by a team that believes pitching will see a steep uptick in annual salary and their stupid contract with Strider is a self-fulfilling prophecy that will probably move the needle 10% across baseball due to this stupid deal. Spencer Strider made last year. These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and improve the performance of our site. Yes, the name Braves Butt Head about sums it up correctly! Its not a bargain. Have a better case that shows why you would gamble paying $53M for three arb years to save $8M in free agency? Prior to his walk year, he had an 8.8 career bWAR, or 2.1/650 PAs. These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. And him being top 2 in the ROY balloting has no bearing on his service time because the Braves never tried to manipulate it. You appear to have ignored multiple opportunities to google the actual definition of Super Two. Cant believe that AA lets him leave. Absolutely bham. Darius Vines, RHP 5. Take Ohtanis arb for an example, $30MM for next season. $1MM for each of the 23 and 24 season is a bargain. Is MLB ok with them now? Was hoping this thread would continue without trolls insulting one another instead of adding actual substance to their argument. I would rather be a free agent vs being drafted in 30th round. They will have their hands full if they get past the Phillies in the NLDS. Spencer Strider currently plays position Starting Pitcher for Atlanta Braves in Major League Baseball, the senior baseball league in the United States. We cant complain about how a big corporation treats people and not acknowledge when they get it right. Acuna had a 41/37 season after he signed, and was in his way to winning the MVP last year before the injury. As a Mets fan, I hate what the Braves are doing. If Baez and Story sign for 140 add in the shift going awaythe market for Dans is at least 140 plus. Swanson is not as good as those guys. Strider is a lock to be Top 2 in ROY voting which gives him an extra year of service time. Do they really think someone is going to go subscribe to Apple TV (one of The Worst of the streamers) just to watch? The deal includes a $22M club option, with a $5M buyout." - @ MLB Transaction Tracker. Mychal Givens, the only one of the Orioles healthy relievers who [] No Gavin Lux -- big problem. Geraldo Quintero, IF 8. In a time in baseball when contact is of the least importance and shifts were used at an all-time high, why players refused to adjust to defensive alignments. Join our linker program. DMC: Lol all you want, but Baez is nowhere near the hitter Swanson is. Baseball will become a joke as far as competition is concerned. Awkward, weak arm, slap happy hitter whose approach doesnt fit the Braves high exit velo crush the ball approach. If Striders arb awards are similar, the Braves are then getting his 2 FA years for 26m, total, without having to buy a long deal including Striders decline. Its about rewarding the player. HOWEVER, because he will only have 2 years and 3 days, he will not be in the top 22% of service time for guys with more than 2 years and less than 3 years. $20M (2027) Its also worth noting that Fried might take the offer Strider just got as a giant slap in the face since hes been leading the rotation for years and won a WS for Atlanta, while Strider hasnt even pitched enough innings to qualify for the ERA title. Its all Monopoly money past a certain point and this core has dynasty potential. Lol at a Met fan claiming another teams farm system pitcher turns into.garbage. Say hello to the countless Met pitchers that have done exactly that. Please logout and login again. Your justification for the contract makes no sense. A pitcher with arm troubles will usually have some for of trouble again and that volatility is increased exponentially by the stature of the pitcher. He quickly established himself as one of the teams hardest fastball players. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. Kris Bryant and Cody Bellinger were Super Twos, for instance, being arb eligible four times as opposed to the usual three. That mark was quickly smashed by Wander Franco (11 years, $182MM) and further surpassed this summer by Julio Rodriguez (12 years, $210MM). Inigo Montoya: You keep using that term, Super Two. It doesnt mean what you think it means. So by the time hes done, the new 0-3 money will end up going in large part to him, Raleigh, Strider, Harris II, and Rutschman. BTV? Give Swanson credit for being healthy for the last couple of seasons. Its just false. Lengthy extensions to position players I get. Go Braves! Short and skinnier pitchers dont hold up well, as a general rule. Win win for both sides. the Braves just paid $35 mil for 1 free agent year of Strider Someone mentioned Max Fried as a comparison, but Fried barely pitched his first 2 seasons in the majors, and had only a small fraction of a season in 2020, and hasnt seen his last 2 arb awards in any case. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. The 21-year old made the transition from the bullpen to the starting rotation. If there is a publication that picked the Mets, please send the link. The Albies deal is a massive savings, Acuna nearly as much. "EXTENDED @Braves have signed RHP Spencer Strider to a six year contract extension worth $75M. Hes the steady eddie kind of player that gets under valued by fans. Right?? Strider has improved his reputation this season. LOL Strider had it Right all along. So with that logic, lets use his first two years of arbitration to show how much of an overpay the Strider deal is because Ohtani only got like $8.5M for year 1 and 2, with him being a full-time hitter as well. This is smart timing, no surprise from AA. The Braves are taking a risk on a pitcher who has 228 innings as a professional. More importantly, has anybody ever heard of Chris Davis? Won a World Series last year. If Free Agents make $40M in five years, if hes healthy, if he remains productive. Over the next 6 years youd probably end up paying him $40m anyway, making the cost of your gamble roughly $40m, since presumably youre paying the buy out in 2029. Players dont decide when they will be traded unless they have a no trade clause. Says who? Does he love ATL to the tune of forgoing, say, $50 million? Everything can be considered in arbitration. A.J. Use Fried as an example who might make roughly $40 mil through arb in total. If youre Swanson, coming off this type of 2021-22 performance, why would you sign for any less than Trevor Story and Javier Baez received last winter ($140MM over six years)? Agreed, but they hadnt locked up any pitching long-term. Even if he does remain this good in a best case scenario, he would only approach the amount hes being guaranteed over those 2 pre-arb years and 3 arb years, and the team should get a significant discount on those arb years in such an early career extension, anyway. And Patrick Corbin with the Yankees. Other then that what aging crap did we sign? Great for Strider too, because he locks in generational guaranteed money. That could really escalate the arb figures. I hope Bloom is watching the Braves and learning. That is less than average, but in line with some long term deals for FA. Strider becomes the fourth young Braves star to be extended this season alone, joining first baseman Matt Olson (eight years, $168MM), center fielder Michael Harris II (eight years, $72MM) and star third baseman Austin Riley (ten years, $212MM). The rotation is so strong that 39-year-old Morton, who re-signed for one year and $20 million, could possibly. They may as well take it. (101-61, 1st place in NL East). Ambioris Tavarez, SS 11. Nothing like leaning $15M/year against the cap instead of $1M by rushing to make a long-term deal with almost no chance of it showing positive value! Being represented by Frontline he got himself a nice contract plus doesnt have to worry about fleas & ticks, Repd by Frontline and now hes got Bravecto. The Prime games are not really an inconvenience since I have Prime. Why do Braves fans act like he just had the best rookie season ever? This year they got a weak season from Acuna, and they won 101 games and the division. For everyone that doesnt get why this contract is bad. The New York Mets lead the division for most of the season. Strider averaged 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings - best in the big leagues - while posting an 11-5 record, 2.67 earned run average, and 202 strikeouts in 131 2/3 innings. Why to constant trashing of the Mets when both teams won 101 games. In reality though, they dont have too b/c some are just that damn team friendly. He was drafted in the 35th round of the 2017 MLB Draft by the Cleveland Indians, however, he did not sign a contract with them. Union before player, always. Will make luxury tax teams wary of him. Id be shocked if Strider made more than $45 mil over the next 5 years in total if we let this all play out. It assumes continued success after only 130 IP in the majors, it assumes zero regression, it assumes increase arb records at every level, it assumes higher investments on pitchers which is trending away from that since all starters are facing TJ surgery at least once in their career. Not sure who he /them is/are, but I betcha Freddie wishes he wouldve had him/them last off season. Cashman still living off of the Coattails of the late 90s Yankee teams and Derek Jeter. He would have been Arb 1 eligible after 2024. He hasnt proven he can hit or play competent Ml defense. Olson can go either way, I think. Its just the law of averages. Think hes still representing himself. If youre a Tigers fan, you probably should hope Baez opts out after 2023. Confirmation bias confirms nothing but poor process. Not going to roast you on Sewmake, Mercenary, but imo theres no possibility of him being considered as a viable replacement for Swanson. I expect to see him elsewhere next year.